The controversy over Jeffrey Epstein rumbles on, despite President Trump’s efforts to put it behind him. It’s been almost three weeks since a joint, unsigned memo from the FBI and the Department of Justice (DOJ) insisted “no incriminating ‘client list’” had been found among material related to Epstein. The memo also contended that there had…
President Trump is facing his most challenging political moment of his second term, with rough poll numbers and growing furor over his administration’s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein case. Trump saw some of his lowest approval ratings of his second term over the past week, with his net approval in the Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ)…
The pandemic exacerbated growing distrust between elites and citizens. That has made it hard to take stock of why the United States fared worse than many other countries. Those calling for a pandemic reckoning say it could help rebuild trust.
Joe Kennedy III, the grandson of Senator Robert F. Kennedy, says there is work to do in red states. He also has a few things to say about his uncle, Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Representative Marie Gluesenkamp Perez says age-related cognitive decline among elected officials is a major issue for voters.
Suspicions about leaks and a mistrust of senior military officers have defined much of the defense secretary’s first six months on the job.
President Trump is trying to divert attention from the Epstein conspiracy theory with new-and-improved one about Barack Obama and treason.
The former U.S. Labor Secretary on how complacency and corporate ties created a “bully in chief.”
A war of words is raging on social media, a years-long battleground for Thais and Cambodians.
Some macro series. One observation does not make a trend – but still… Figure 1: Monthly GDP (black), private nonfarm payroll employment-ADP (blue), civilian employment w/smoothed population controls (light blue), aggregate hours (light green), consumption (tan), personal income ex-transfers (pink), real retail sales (purple), all in logs 2025M01=0. Real retail sales is 3 month centered moving average of retail sales, divided by chained CPI. Source: S&P Global, ADP-Stanford, BLS, BEA, Census, and author’s calculations. Note that NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee places primary emphasis on employment and income. Series that continue to rise include the Philadelphia Fed’s coincident index. For a more complete tabulation of series, see this post.
