Americans don’t buy Netanyahu’s lie about Gaza hunger crisis
Survey Says is a weekly series rounding up the most important polling trends or data points you need to know about, plus a vibe check on a trend that’s driving politics. A man-made famine in Gaza On Tuesday, a United Nations-affiliated organization released a damning report about the “worst-case scenario for famine” occurring in the Gaza Strip. Over 20,000 children have been treated for severe malnutrition, and at least 16 child deaths have been tied to starvation. Israel’s blockade of aid is the primary cause of the crisis, with the director-general of the World Health Organization referring to the mass starvation as “man-made.” And yet, last Sunday, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu falsely claimed, “There is no starvation in Gaza”—a lie too brazen for even noted liar President Donald Trump. “Some of those kids are—that’s real starvation stuff,” Trump said on Monday. “I see it, and you can’t fake that.” And the vast majority of America sees it too. New polling from YouGov finds that 68% of Americans agree there is a hunger crisis in Gaza. That includes majorities of Democrats (84%), independents (65%), and Republicans (55%). Just 5% of Americans say there isn’t a crisis. Datawrapper Content Pluralities of Americans also think Israel (46%) and the U.S. (43%) should be doing more to end the mass starvation. All of this hits as fewer Americans than ever before support Israel’s military actions in Gaza, which have claimed the lives of 60,000 Gazans, including 18,500 children, though studies suggest the true number of deaths is higher. Sixty percent of Americans disapprove of Israel’s military campaign in Gaza, according to new data from Gallup. Only 32% approve of it, beating the previous low of 36% in March 2024. Datawrapper Content Republicans are most supportive of Israel’s campaign, with 71% approving. But support has tumbled among independents (25%) and cratered among Democrats (8%). In the previous poll, conducted last September, support among independents and Democrats was 16 percentage points higher for each. Datawrapper Content However, Gallup’s poll finished fielding on July 21, before the latest round of high-profile reporting on the budding famine in Gaza, and before a prominent Republican lawmaker called the crisis there a “genocide.” So it’s easy to imagine that support for Israel’s action in Gaza is even lower now. Burning down the house Under Trump, the Environmental Protection Agency no longer wants to protect the environment or the people living in it. On Tuesday, the agency announced it will move to rescind the primary legal grounds it has used to curb the emissions that fuel climate change. The Environmental Protection Agency’s headquarters, shown in 2019. But the Trump administration is doing this with virtually no public mandate. Majorities of every demographic—men, women, every race, age group, and income bracket—want the government to maintain or expand its restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions, according to the latest YouGov/The Economist poll. Well, every demographic save one. Only Republicans are below majority level, with just 36% saying the government should maintain or expand emissions restrictions. Twenty-nine percent want to see them reduced, and 18% want them eliminated—which, when combined, is also not a majority of Republicans. Meanwhile, a plurality of every other demographic wants to see restrictions not just maintained but also expanded. Datawrapper Content The same phenomenon repeats across other questions in the poll. Is the government doing too much or not enough to fight climate change? A majority or plurality of every demographic says “not enough”—except for Republicans, 32% of whom say it’s doing “too much” and 38% of whom say it’s doing “about the right amount.” Is the climate changing because of human activity, as the universal scientific consensus says is the case? A majority or plurality of every demographic thinks so—except for Republicans, a plurality of whom (46%) admits the climate is changing but claims that humans aren’t to blame. The sun sets at wind farm in Texas during a heat wave in July 2022. One reason for this head-in-sand resistance to addressing climate change is that the issue cuts to the root of conservatism itself. To accept the gravity of the crisis requires people to see their actions as potentially harmful and to think outside of themselves. To address the crisis will require large-scale collective action—government action, to be specific. It will require us to change, which conservatism, in its very name, opposes. But perhaps “conservatism” is a misnomer. Conservative actions on climate change, like those taken by Trump’s EPA, will lead to habitat collapse, environmental destruction, and the loss of human life. How does that “conserve” anything? Through the looking glass A new poll shows Trump with his worst net approval rating yet: +2 points. Fifty percent of voters approve of the job he’s doing as president, and 48% disapprove. Wait, what? Yes, while most polls show Trump’s approval rating in the dumps, not every poll does. The results above are from a poll conducted by two right-wing pollsters, InsiderAdvantage and the Trafalgar Group. The latter firm has notoriously secretive methods, but it retains just enough credibility that mainstream polling averages, like those from The New York Times and election analyst Nate Silver, don’t outright disregard them. (Thankfully, those averages are smart and adjust polls for firms’ partisan bias.) However, these polls tell us something key about the right-wing media ecosystem: You gotta keep the big guy happy. In the world of right-wing polls, Trump’s approval rating is underwater but just barely. In a simple average of polls in July, 47.4% of the country approves of Trump’s job as president, while 49.8% disapproves, according to polls that political analyst Mary Radcliffe aggregated and that Daily Kos identified as coming from Republican-aligned firms. (Radcliffe is a former colleague of mine at 538.) The use of the decimal point in those numbers is important because in no month has this average of GOP-aligned polls shown that a majority of the country disapproves of Trump. Datawrapper Content Meanwhile, in a simple average of all polls from all pollsters, Trump









